Nick's Real Estate Blog: Mississippi

Living in a Dead Zone

Imagine being one of the first home buyers to purchase a home in a new subdivision where the developer has plans to build out at least 100 homes, only to go broke shortly after your purchase, leaving the neighborhood a virtual wasteland. There are several neighborhoods in my area where this was the case. Maybe 10% of the projected homes were built out, the rest are just vacant, overgrown lots.

Let's say the value of your home was $200,000 when purchased. But that value was largely based on the assumed completion of the neighborhood. But now that development has stopped way short of completion, and no one is wanting to purchase in your subdivision, you values have been cut in half. So you have a home worth $100,000, which most likely no one would want to buy, and a mortgage around $200,000. What do you do? Would you walk away?

That is an interesting dilemma. And a real story. CBS 60 Minutes just profiled 6 neighbors who are living this situation: http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-18560_162-57344513/there-goes-the-neighborhood/?tag=cbsContent;cbsCarousel

Interesting, though, out of the 6 profiled, only one walked, and the was because of medical issues which kept her from making the payments. One of the neighbors made the profound statement that, even though her homes value declined by 50%, she was still going to pay the mortgage because she was still able to pay. The decline in her homes value didn't affect her ability to pay the mortgage that she agreed to when she closed on the loan.

Also in this article, which profiles the city of Cleveland, Ohio, it states that city officials have already demolished 1000 vacant homes and plan to demolish another 20000 in the future. That has to make quite an impact on a community.

 

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2 commentsNick Miller • December 18 2011 10:14PM

Foreclosures in the Market. Is There Recovery Insight?

When will the market recover? I guess that depends on who you talk too, but in my opinion, not soon enough. I found this interesting article on cnbc at http://www.cnbc.com/id/45507581. It states that "the average loan in foreclosure has now been delinquent a record 631 days." That is a long time for a loan to be delinquent.

This article also states that foreclosures are at an all time high at 4.29 percent of all active homes and that new foreclosures are outnumbering foreclosure sales 3:1.

So what does this mean? It means that foreclosures will continue to flood the market for years to come. There is a large shadow inventory building, and, as more delinquent borrowers are allowed to stay in their homes for extended periods of times, other borrowers who are fighting to keep up with the mortgage may decide to take their chances with foreclosure and live in their homes rent free for 2 years or more.

But that news isn't all bad. It could mean great buying opportunities for home buyers and investors. It is also a good time to learn to sell foreclosures as a real estate agent, which I can help with as I have written a course on REO Agent Fundamentals. If your interested in the material, let me know.

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0 commentsNick Miller • December 15 2011 09:19AM

Foreclosures on the rise, Good opportunity for Investors

With the future of the economy still uncertain, and mortgage default notices being filed at breakneck speed, is there any reason to be optimistic about the real estate market today?

I guess that would all depend on who you are. For investors who can get their hands on some cash, this is a great market to be in. As the pendulum of supply and demand continues to swing higher and higher on the supply side, prices will continue to fall, which equals a great buying opportunity.

And not only that, but as more and more people are being displaced from their homes, the demand for rental property increases. Of course you, as the investor/landlord, will have to relax your rental qualifications some as many will have a foreclosure or default on their credit report.

Overall, it is still an unfortunate situation we find ourselves in. But for those who are able to take advantage of the situation, yet do not, only adds to the level of misfortune. The only way to turn this thing around, and for homes to start appreciating again, is to reduce the supply of inventory.

Interesting article: http://www.eforeclosuremagazine.com/foreclosure/more-foreclosures-on-the-way-with-more-default-notices-filed

 

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0 commentsNick Miller • November 19 2011 07:03PM